A successful week with over +7u profit from the weekend.

Stay Inside clearly should have won the Todman Stakes. Settled last but unfortunately James Mcdonald chose to stay inside rather than hook out wide, Glen Boss didn't let him out and he was stuck behind a wall of horses, and didn't get out until the race was over. Still clearly one of the horses to beat in the Golden Slipper.

Trifaccia at $15 also should have won. Also settled last but again J Mac chose to try weave his way through rather than hooking out wide, and the filly was held up too long before absolutely flying home for 3rd. At least we had a nice collect at $4.20 the place.

A crying shame she didn't win however as we backed her at $101-$201 for the Golden Slipper in a race she could have won, but she now won't have enough prizemoney to qualify.

The good news is we also backed her at $101 in the Inglis Sires Produce and $51 in the Percy Sykes, at least one of which I believe she will play a big part in.

If you don't believe me, here's a quote directly from James Mcdonald to the media straight after the race: “Lovely filly, still learning her craft. She has plenty of ability. She will win a big one over this carnival.”

We had a good day on Sunday also with both of our place all ups winning. Was just a shame The Commoner who ran 2nd didn't win, or it would have been a 35/1 all up for another +17.8u collect.

As mentioned yesterday, my analysis found that there are substantial profits in finding the right big value runners, such as Georgie's Pride at $41 in January, and Trifaccia.

At the shorter end of the market, it's about finding intelligent ways to profit from the runners that placed so often but found ways to get beaten, and that's where the place options and all ups will allow us to profit from these runners more regularly.

Ultimately our betting will be a lot more targeted, finding the high confidence runners at nice prices.

So far in 2021 we've had only 5 betting days, all winning days, and +36u profit. Long may it continue.

If you wish to have a read of the Stewards Reports on our 2 Saturday bets, they are below. They are about as long as a Stewards Report writeup ever gets for a horse!

Stay Inside – Began awkwardly, shifted in and made contact with Anamoe. From the outside barrier was then shifted behind runners in the early stages. When questioned regarding his riding, J McDonald stated that, as notified by the stable, his instructions were to ride the colt in a conservative manner from its wide barrier. He said that he followed Alpine Edge throughout the early and middle stages and when that runner commenced to lay out from the 600m he elected to improve to its inside and follow one of the fancied runners, Remarque. He added his decision to do so was further influenced by the fact that Alpine Edge had an inclination to lay out and he was concerned that if he shifted to that runner’s outside he may be forced to cover extra ground. J McDonald further added that, when Remarque did not improve into the event as he had hoped, he became held up on the heels of that colt until near the 250m when it was able to follow Anamoe into the race. He added that Stay Inside ran on reasonably well once afforded clear running. Co-trainer Mr M Freedman confirmed the instructions issued and expressed satisfaction with the ride of J McDonald. After considering J McDonald’s explanation and the racing manners of Alpine Edge at the relevant stage of the race, the Stewards found that the decision of J McDonald to improve to the inside of Alpine Edge was reasonable.

Trifaccia – Slow to begin and from a wide barrier was then shifted behind runners in the early stages. When questioned regarding his riding, J McDonald stated that from his wide barrier he had been instructed to go back on the filly to ensure his mount was not caught wide. He added that he had also been instructed to ensure the filly settled as it had been inclined to race ungenerously at its first race start. He said, in accordance with his instructions, he rode the filly conservatively in the early stages, which resulted in Trifaccia settling at the rear of the field for some distance from the main body of the race. When questioned regarding his riding from the 600m and as to whether there was an opportunity to improve to the outside of Chill, J McDonald stated that leaving the 600m he had observed one of the main chances, Swift Witness, to be racing in advance of him, so he elected to commence to improve to follow that runner to avoid having to cover additional ground and also to avoid the unfancied runner, Chill, not taking him into the race. He added on straightening Trifaccia commenced to respond well to his riding and this resulted in it improving to the inside of Swift Witness when that runner did not quicken as he had anticipated and as a result he was obliged to steady and shift Trifaccia out to avoid being positioned too close to the heels of Gstaad, which was commencing to weaken. J McDonald further added that when Swift Witness quickened near the 200m, Trifaccia was able to secure clear running, whereby it then finished the race off strongly. Trainer Mr J Cummings confirmed the instructions issued and was satisfied with the decision of J McDonald to secure inside runs rather than improving around the field. After considering J McDonald’s explanation and the reasons for electing to improve to the inside of Chill, the Stewards found that his riding at that section of the race was reasonable. A post-race veterinary examination did not reveal any abnormalities.